Sport Picks
Cancun vs Jaiba Brava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, Cancún 
Match Events
3'
3'
Reyes R.
18'
18'
Ochoa I.
63'
63'
Sub
Reyes R. In: Cortes J.
Out: Reyes R.
AI Match Summary
Cancun in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cancun.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cancun
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cancun have won more games recently than Jaiba Brava.
- Cancun are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Cancun Clean Sheet 19%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cancun | Jaiba Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Jaiba Brava
2:0
May 3, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Jaiba Brava
1:1
May 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Cancun
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Cancun vs Jaiba Brava
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Cancun
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cancun Compare
Top Goalscorer Preciado G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Jaiba Brava Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cancun 85 / 100
Jaiba Brava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cancun Jaiba Brava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cancun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cancun scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Cancun remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Jaiba Brava let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Cancun VS Jaiba Brava
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Cancun
(Home) 01 Nov
Cancun
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
24 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 4 Cancun
18 Oct
Cancun
1 : 1 Venados FC
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2 Cancun
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Cancun
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
18 Oct
Cancun
1 : 1 Venados FC
04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
20 Sept
Cancun
3 : 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 4
Jaiba Brava
(Away) 01 Nov
Cancun
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
25 Oct
Jaiba Brava
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
18 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 2 Jaiba Brava
11 Oct
Jaiba Brava
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Cancun
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
18 Oct
Club Atletico Morelia
1 : 2 Jaiba Brava
03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancun | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
