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Candango U20 vs Samambaense U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 game between Candango U20 and Samambaense U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Candango U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Candango U20
15%
Draws
0%
Samambaense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Candango U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Candango U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Candango U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Candango U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Samambaense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Candango U20 Samambaense U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.33 0.47
Goals Conceded 2.6 4.93
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Candango U20 vs Samambaense U20
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Candango U20 vs Samambaense U20
1:1
Jun 20, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Samambaense U20 vs Candango U20
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Candango U20 83 / 100
Samambaense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Candango U20 Samambaense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Candango U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samambaense U20 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Samambaense U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Candango U20 scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Candango U20 VS Samambaense U20
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 5.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Candango U20

(Home)
25 Jul
Candango U20
10 : 0
ARUC U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0
Candango U20
04 Jul
Candango U20
0 : 5
Sobradinho U20
27 Jun
Gama U20
3 : 3
Candango U20
20 Jun
Legiao U20
2 : 0
Candango U20
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Samambaense U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaense U20
0 : 4
Gama U20
05 Jul
Brazlandia U20
3 : 0
Samambaense U20
27 Jun
Samambaense U20
2 : 4
Legiao U20
23 Jun
Capital DF U20
6 : 0
Samambaense U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 10 9 1 0 45:4 28
2 Capital DF U20 10 8 1 1 54:11 25
3 Samambaia U20 10 6 3 1 28:7 21
4 Sobradinho U20 10 6 2 2 40:5 20
5 Legiao U20 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
6 Candango U20 10 3 1 6 17:30 10
7 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 10 3 1 6 15:30 10
8 Gama U20 10 2 3 5 21:23 9
9 Brazlandia U20 10 2 2 6 14:31 8
10 Samambaense U20 10 2 0 8 5:46 6
11 ARUC U20 10 0 1 9 3:60 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 10 10 0 0 48:6 30
2 Real Brasilia U20 10 9 0 1 48:5 27
3 Planaltina U20 10 7 1 2 30:9 22
4 Santa Maria U20 10 5 2 3 26:18 17
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 5 0 5 20:26 15
6 Brasilia U20 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
7 Paranoa U20 10 3 1 6 13:28 10
8 Ceilandia U20 10 2 2 6 21:38 8
9 Ceilandense U20 10 1 4 5 6:25 7
10 Cruzeiro DF U20 10 1 3 6 11:27 6
11 Luziania U20 10 0 2 8 5:43 2
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)