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Stadium Background

Canelas 2010 vs Agueda

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Canelas 2010 Logo

Canelas 2010

2 - 1
FT
Agueda Logo

Agueda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Canelas 2010 in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Canelas 2010.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Canelas 2010
30%
Draws
23%
Agueda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canelas 2010

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Canelas 2010 have won more games recently than Agueda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 68%
Agueda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canelas 2010 Agueda
Matches Played 36 24
Wins 14 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.17 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Agueda vs Canelas 2010
0:0
Dec 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Canelas 2010 vs Agueda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 41 / 100
Agueda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canelas 2010 Agueda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canelas 2010 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canelas 2010's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Agueda has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Agueda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Canelas 2010 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Canelas 2010

(Home)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 8

Agueda

(Away)
01 Oct
Agueda
0 : 1
Pevidem
10 Apr
Sanjoanense
1 : 0
Agueda
03 Apr
Agueda
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
21 Mar
Agueda
0 : 2
Castro Daire
12 Mar
Agueda
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anadia 22 13 5 4 39:15 44
2 Canelas 2010 22 12 5 5 28:13 41
3 Lusitania FC 22 11 6 5 38:26 39
4 Sao Joao de Ver 22 10 8 4 30:14 38
5 Sanjoanense 22 8 12 2 26:13 36
6 Castro Daire 22 10 5 7 23:24 35
7 Valadares Gaia FC 22 10 3 9 36:27 33
8 SC Espinho 22 9 4 9 33:22 31
9 Beira Mar 22 9 4 9 30:23 31
10 Agueda 22 4 5 13 17:28 17
11 Lusitano FCV 22 4 4 14 17:34 16
12 Vila Cortez 22 1 1 20 8:86 4
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)