Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021

Canelas 2010

1 - 0

Lusitano FCV

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Canelas 2010 and Lusitano FCV finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canelas 2010.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Canelas 2010

33%

Draws

27%

Lusitano FCV

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Canelas 2010

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Canelas 2010 carry the better recent record into this one.
Canelas 2010 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 68%

Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Canelas 2010	Lusitano FCV
Matches Played	34	28
Wins	12	7
Draws	9	4
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Canelas 2010 vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 49% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Nov 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitano FCV vs Canelas 2010

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 0 - 4

0:2

Mar 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitano FCV vs Canelas 2010

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Nov 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Canelas 2010 vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canelas 2010 50 / 100

Lusitano FCV 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Canelas 2010 Lusitano FCV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano FCV's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Canelas 2010 scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Lusitano FCV let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Canelas 2010 VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Anadia	22	13	5	4	39:15	44
2	Canelas 2010	22	12	5	5	28:13	41
3	Lusitania FC	22	11	6	5	38:26	39
4	Sao Joao de Ver	22	10	8	4	30:14	38
5	Sanjoanense	22	8	12	2	26:13	36
6	Castro Daire	22	10	5	7	23:24	35
7	Valadares Gaia FC	22	10	3	9	36:27	33
8	SC Espinho	22	9	4	9	33:22	31
9	Beira Mar	22	9	4	9	30:23	31
10	Agueda	22	4	5	13	17:28	17
11	Lusitano FCV	22	4	4	14	17:34	16
12	Vila Cortez	22	1	1	20	8:86	4