Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Canillas vs Trival Valderas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
7' Event
Revilla S.
82' Event
Acosta T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between Canillas and Trival Valderas finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Canillas
20%
Draws
80%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Trival Valderas a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Canillas Clean Sheet 16%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canillas Trival Valderas
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 21
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 2 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Trival Valderas
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Canillas
3:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Trival Valderas
1:1
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Canillas
2:1
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs Trival Valderas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Canillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Revilla S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acosta T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Javi Diz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canillas 10 / 100
Trival Valderas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canillas Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Canillas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Trival Valderas has conceded goals in 66% of their last 38 outings.

Away concern: Trival Valderas has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trival Valderas
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Canillas

(Home)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
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Trival Valderas

(Away)
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)