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Canvey Island vs Burgess Hill

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79'
Dariri K.
79'
Dariri K.
90' Event
Vorster G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Burgess Hill in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Burgess Hill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Canvey Island
22%
Draws
60%
Burgess Hill
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Burgess Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Burgess Hill have won more games recently than Canvey Island.
  • Model gives Burgess Hill a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 10%
Burgess Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Canvey Island Burgess Hill
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Burgess Hill
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Canvey Island
0:2
Oct 30, 2021 FA Trophy
Canvey Island vs Burgess Hill
3:0
Feb 25, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Canvey Island vs Burgess Hill
2:1
Feb 14, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Burgess Hill vs Canvey Island
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Canvey Island 18 / 100
Burgess Hill 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Canvey Island Burgess Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgess Hill has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Burgess Hill's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Canvey Island's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Canvey Island VS Burgess Hill
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Canvey Island

(Home)
25 Jul
Canvey Island
3 : 4
Brentwood
14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
04 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 0
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Canvey Island
2 : 4
Ramsgate
18 Apr
St. Albans
4 : 1
Canvey Island
Page 1 of 7

Burgess Hill

(Away)
25 Jul
Dover Ath.
1 : 0
Burgess Hill
14 Jul
Burgess Hill
2 : 1
Sevenoaks
25 Apr
Burgess Hill
4 : 2
Cray Wanderers
18 Apr
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Burgess Hill
11 Apr
Burgess Hill
1 : 3
Cheshunt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folkestone422994102:4096
2Aveley422412690:5184
3Billericay422410881:4882
4Chatham422471183:3579
5Brentwood422461284:6678
6Dartford4220121081:5572
7Cray Wanderers421716979:7167
8Burgess Hill422071576:8167
9Dulwich Hamlet4217111461:5362
10Ramsgate4215121573:6857
11St. Albans421681871:5956
12Chichester City4214131557:6355
13Cheshunt4212141665:7050
14Whitehawk4212131758:7249
15Welling421532454:7548
16Wingate & Finchley4212102055:6746
17Lewes421372247:8346
18Carshalton4210141861:7344
19Cray Valley421192254:8042
20Hashtag421192260:8742
21Potters42933046:9430
22Canvey Island42692740:8727
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)