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Capalaba FC vs Magic United TFA FC

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2025 John Frederick Park, Redlands
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rossi L.
24' Event
Jackson T.
45' Event
Dimarco Joshua

AI Match Summary

Magic United TFA FC in this Queensland Premier League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Magic United TFA FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Capalaba FC
28%
Draws
50%
Magic United TFA FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Magic United TFA FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Magic United TFA FC lately — more wins on the board than Capalaba FC.
  • Magic United TFA FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%
Magic United TFA FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capalaba FC Magic United TFA FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 1
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.38 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Magic United TFA FC
1:6
May 24, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Magic United TFA FC vs Capalaba FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capalaba FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Magic United TFA FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cross M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jackson T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capalaba FC 22 / 100
Magic United TFA FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capalaba FC Magic United TFA FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magic United TFA FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Capalaba FC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Magic United TFA FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Capalaba FC VS Magic United TFA FC
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Capalaba FC

(Home)
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2
St. George Willawong
27 Jun
Broadbeach Utd.
3 : 1
Capalaba FC
23 Jun
Robina City
5 : 1
Capalaba FC
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Magic United TFA FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4
Magic United TFA FC
11 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior
4 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
05 Jul
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 3
Magic United TFA FC
27 Jun
Magic United TFA FC
3 : 5
Brisbane City
19 Jun
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 1
Magic United TFA FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Magic United TFA FC22151666:2943
2Rochedale22134555:2643
3Broadbeach Utd.22127355:2943
4Brisbane Strikers22133652:2842
5Logan Lightning22104843:4234
6Redlands2296742:4733
7Caboolture22931047:4030
8Holland Park Hawks22831147:4627
9Ipswich2258924:2623
10Capalaba FC22531431:5918
11SWQ Thunder22531426:6318
12Southside Eagles22431521:7415
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2025 (Play Offs)