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Capital FC U20 vs Araguaia (TO) U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Capital FC U20
6%
Draws
90%
Araguaia (TO) U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Araguaia (TO) U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguaia (TO) U20 haven't matched Capital FC U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Araguaia (TO) U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Capital FC U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Capital FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Araguaia (TO) U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital FC U20 Araguaia (TO) U20
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 13 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 3.13 3.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Araguaia (TO) U20 vs Capital FC U20
3:5
May 25, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Capital FC U20 vs Araguaia (TO) U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC U20 10 / 100
Araguaia (TO) U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital FC U20 Araguaia (TO) U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capital FC U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Araguaia (TO) U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 14 matches.

Araguaia (TO) U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital FC U20 VS Araguaia (TO) U20
3.13 Goals Scored 3.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital FC U20

(Home)
28 Jun
Tocantinopolis U20
8 : 1
Capital FC U20
21 Jun
Capital FC U20
1 : 3
Tocantinopolis U20
15 Jun
Tocantinopolis U20
1 : 2
Capital FC U20
08 Jun
Capital FC U20
1 : 6
Tocantinopolis U20
01 Jun
Araguaia (TO) U20
3 : 5
Capital FC U20
Page 1 of 6

Araguaia (TO) U20

(Away)
20 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
1 : 0
Araguaia (TO) U20
13 Jun
Araguaia (TO) U20
1 : 1
Uniao Carmolandense U20
06 Jun
Batalhao U20
2 : 0
Araguaia (TO) U20
04 Jun
Araguaia (TO) U20
1 : 2
Interporto U20
30 May
Uniao de Palmas U20
0 : 2
Araguaia (TO) U20
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Palmas U203
Interporto U204
Batalhao U208
Gurupi U202
Araguaia (TO) U205
Capital FC U207
Tocantinopolis U2014
Tocantins U200
SD Sparta U201
Uniao Carmolandense U208
Araguaina U203
Bela Vista U201
Final
Interporto U202
Batalhao U204
Capital FC U203
Tocantinopolis U207
Uniao Carmolandense U202
Araguaina U201