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Capital FC U20 vs SD Sparta U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capital FC U20 in this Tocantinense U20 2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Capital FC U20
17%
Draws
70%
SD Sparta U20
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: SD Sparta U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Capital FC U20 have won more games recently than SD Sparta U20.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on SD Sparta U20 taking it.
  • Capital FC U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capital FC U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Capital FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
SD Sparta U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital FC U20 SD Sparta U20
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 13 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 3.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Tocantinense U20
Capital FC U20 vs SD Sparta U20
2:1
Jun 2, 2024 Tocantinense U20
SD Sparta U20 vs Capital FC U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC U20 14 / 100
SD Sparta U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital FC U20 SD Sparta U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Capital FC U20 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

SD Sparta U20 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: SD Sparta U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital FC U20 VS SD Sparta U20
3.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital FC U20

(Home)
28 Jun
Tocantinopolis U20
8 : 1
Capital FC U20
21 Jun
Capital FC U20
1 : 3
Tocantinopolis U20
15 Jun
Tocantinopolis U20
1 : 2
Capital FC U20
08 Jun
Capital FC U20
1 : 6
Tocantinopolis U20
01 Jun
Araguaia (TO) U20
3 : 5
Capital FC U20
Page 1 of 6

SD Sparta U20

(Away)
01 Jun
Uniao Carmolandense U20
5 : 0
SD Sparta U20
25 May
SD Sparta U20
1 : 3
Uniao Carmolandense U20
17 May
SD Sparta U20
1 : 3
Araguaina U20
03 May
Guarai SC U20
2 : 2
SD Sparta U20
01 May
SD Sparta U20
4 : 1
Tocantins U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Uniao EC U201
Tocantinopolis U2010
Tocantins U200
Uniao Carmolandense U208
SD Sparta U203
Batalhao U202
Araguaina U201
Capital FC U203
Interporto U207
Guarai SC U202
Gurupi U203
Araguacema U204
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Tocantinopolis U201
Uniao Carmolandense U205
SD Sparta U202
Capital FC U204
Interporto U205
Araguacema U204
TBD-
Araguacema U20-
Semi-finals
Uniao Carmolandense U205
Capital FC U202
Interporto U202
Araguacema U204
Final
Uniao Carmolandense U202
Araguacema U200