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Capital FC vs Araguacema

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 game between Capital FC and Araguacema finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capital FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Capital FC
28%
Draws
50%
Araguacema
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Araguacema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Capital FC haven't matched Araguacema's recent run of results.
  • Araguacema are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Araguacema have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Capital FC Clean Sheet 20%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital FC Araguacema
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Araguacema
4:1
Dec 18, 2021 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Araguacema
1:3
Mar 8, 2020 Tocantinense
Capital FC vs Araguacema
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital FC 24 / 100
Araguacema 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital FC Araguacema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Capital FC scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Araguacema conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Capital FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Capital FC VS Araguacema
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 4
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis971128:822
2Capital FC962116:620
3Interporto954016:519
4Uniao Carmolandense953111:818
5Bela Vista-TO933312:1012
6Palmas923416:119
7Nova Conquista923411:149
8Araguacema922512:148
9Gurupi91268:175
10Tocantins90184:411