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Capital vs Legiao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 game between Capital and Legiao finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legiao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Capital
35%
Draws
25%
Legiao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Capital carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Capital taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Capital Clean Sheet 20%
Legiao Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital Legiao
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Brasiliense
Capital vs Legiao
1:0
Feb 16, 2014 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Capital
1:1
Feb 23, 2013 Brasiliense
Capital vs Legiao
2:0
Mar 17, 2012 Brasiliense
Capital vs Legiao
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital 85 / 100
Legiao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital Legiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Capital scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Legiao has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Capital went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capital VS Legiao
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital

(Home)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 7

Legiao

(Away)
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 6 5 1 0 9:4 16
2 Brasiliense 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Botafogo DF 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
4 Sobradinho 6 3 0 3 12:9 9
5 Legiao 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
6 Real Brasilia 6 1 1 4 7:22 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
2 Brazlandia 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Gama 6 3 0 3 18:8 9
4 Bosque Formosa 6 2 0 4 9:15 6
5 Ceilandense 6 1 2 3 12:11 5
6 Capital 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (First stage - Play Offs)