Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Capital vs Rio Branco ES

Brazil Brazil

Copa Centro-Oeste Estadio Juscelino Kubitschek (JK), Paranoá
Capital Logo

Capital

0 - 2
FT
Rio Branco ES Logo

Rio Branco ES

Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Gui Mendes
90' Event
Rafael
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Capital
30%
Draws
39%
Rio Branco ES
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rio Branco ES

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Branco ES haven't matched Capital's recent run of results.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Capital taking it.
  • Capital have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rio Branco ES, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Capital Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco ES Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capital Rio Branco ES
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Capital vs Rio Branco ES
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capital Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Rio Branco ES Compare

Top Goalscorer Gui Mendes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capital 68 / 100
Rio Branco ES 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capital Rio Branco ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Capital scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Rio Branco ES conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Capital remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Capital VS Rio Branco ES
2 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Capital

(Home)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco ES

(Away)
27 Jun
Uberlandia
2 : 2
Rio Branco ES
21 Jun
Rio Branco ES
0 : 2
Uberlandia
14 Jun
Rio Branco ES
4 : 0
Porto-BA
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 5 2 2 1 10:4 8
2 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Operario MS 5 2 2 1 8:10 8
4 Araguaina 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
5 Capital 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
6 Primavera AC 5 0 2 3 6:12 2
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 5 5 0 0 8:3 15
2 Anapolis 5 3 0 2 9:3 9
3 Atletico GO 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
4 Porto Vitoria 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
5 Tocantinopolis 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
6 Cuiaba 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)