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Capitao Poco vs Izabelense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Capitao Poco advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Capitao Poco
15%
Draws
39%
Izabelense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Capitao Poco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Capitao Poco a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Capitao Poco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capitao Poco, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 19%
Izabelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capitao Poco Izabelense
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2024 Paraense A2
Izabelense vs Capitao Poco
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 Paraense A2
Capitao Poco vs Izabelense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capitao Poco 40 / 100
Izabelense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capitao Poco Izabelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capitao Poco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capitao Poco's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Izabelense has conceded goals in 67% of their last 21 outings.

Recent resilience: Capitao Poco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Capitao Poco VS Izabelense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Capitao Poco

(Home)
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1
Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0
Castanhal
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Izabelense

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Capitao Poco 2
Izabelense 0
Amazonia IFC 0
Paragominas 5
Carajas 2
Sao Raimundo PA 1
ESMAC 1
Independente 3
Semi-finals
Capitao Poco 3
Paragominas 0
Carajas 1
Independente 2
Final
Capitao Poco 1
Independente 2