Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista U20 2025

Capivariano U20

1 - 0

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Maranhao

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Capivariano U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capivariano U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Capivariano U20

11%

Draws

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Capivariano U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 haven't matched Capivariano U20's recent run of results.
Capivariano U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Capivariano U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Capivariano U20	Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	11	0
Losses	8	23
Goals Scored	0.88	1.17
Goals Conceded	1	2.17
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Paulista U20

Capivariano U20 vs Comercial FC - Tiete U20

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Capivariano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano U20 76 / 100

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Capivariano U20 Comercial FC - Tiete U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Capivariano U20's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Capivariano U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Comercial FC - Tiete U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Capivariano U20 VS Comercial FC - Tiete U20

0.88 Goals Scored 1.17

1 Goals Conceded 2.17

38% Over 1.5 83%

38% Over 2.5 83%

25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Capivariano U20

(Home)

17 Jul

Capivariano U20

2 : 0

Referencia U20

11 Jul

Palmeiras U20

2 : 2

Capivariano U20

03 Jul

Capivariano U20

2 : 2

Ituano U20

28 Jun

Bragantino U20

3 : 1

Capivariano U20

12 Jun

XV de Jau U20

0 : 0

Capivariano U20

Page 1 of 6

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

(Away)

13 Jan

Bragantino U20

3 : 0

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

10 Jan

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

2 : 1

Criciuma U20

07 Jan

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

1 : 0

Piracicaba U20

04 Jan

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

2 : 4

Canaa U20

12 Aug

Desportivo U20

2 : 1

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	15	12	1	2	61:11	37
2	Bragantino U20	15	11	2	2	36:11	35
3	Sao Paulo U20	15	11	2	2	36:13	35
4	Guarani U20	15	11	1	3	28:13	34
5	EC Sao Bernardo U20	15	11	0	4	33:13	33
6	Novorizontino U20	15	10	3	2	36:16	33
7	Portuguesa U20	15	9	4	2	33:15	31
8	Ituano U20	15	9	3	3	37:12	30
9	Ibrachina U20	15	9	3	3	31:15	30
10	Ferroviaria U20	15	9	2	4	29:18	29
11	Santos U20	15	9	2	4	29:19	29
12	CA Juventus U20	15	9	2	4	15:10	29
13	Corinthians U20	15	9	2	4	29:25	29
14	Uniao Suzano U20	15	9	2	4	23:19	29
15	Ponte Preta U20	15	9	1	5	33:19	28
16	Santo Andre U20	15	8	1	6	26:26	25
17	Osasco Sporting U20	15	7	4	4	22:17	25
18	Capivariano U20	15	7	3	5	23:15	24
19	XV de Jau U20	15	7	1	7	26:23	22
20	Piracicaba U20	15	7	1	7	19:18	22
21	Gremio Prudente U20	15	6	4	5	21:15	22
22	Portuguesa Santista U20	15	6	4	5	19:21	22
23	Mirassol U20	15	6	3	6	21:13	21
24	Osasco Audax U20	15	6	3	6	27:25	21
25	Sao Caetano U20	15	6	3	6	20:23	21
26	Referencia U20	15	5	6	4	25:26	21
27	Botafogo SP U20	15	6	2	7	25:21	20
28	Internacional de Limeira U20	15	6	2	7	20:19	20
29	Desportivo U20	15	5	3	7	22:25	18
30	Maua FC U20	15	5	3	7	13:17	18
31	Bandeirante U20	15	5	3	7	18:25	18
32	Itapirense U20	15	5	3	7	18:26	18
33	Sertaozinho U20	15	5	2	8	14:17	17
34	Tanabi U20	15	4	4	7	19:24	16
35	Agua Santa U20	15	4	4	7	20:28	16
36	Velo Clube U20	15	4	4	7	16:26	16
37	Sao Bento U20	15	4	3	8	17:29	15
38	Aguai U20	15	4	3	8	12:25	15
39	Jabaquara U20	15	4	3	8	16:30	15
40	Sfera U20	15	4	2	9	15:23	14
41	Flamengo SP U20	15	4	2	9	15:32	14
42	AC Guaratingueta U20	15	3	2	10	12:35	11
43	Uniao Sao Joao U20	15	3	1	11	13:33	10
44	Comercial FC - Tiete U20	15	3	0	12	20:36	9
45	Taubate U20	15	2	2	11	10:33	8
46	Sao Jose EC U20	15	1	3	11	14:40	6
47	Aracatuba FC U20	15	1	3	11	14:48	6
48	Rio Claro U20	15	1	1	13	8:46	4

Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Sao Bernardo U20	15	11	0	4	33:13	33
2	Novorizontino U20	15	10	3	2	36:16	33
3	Ferroviaria U20	15	9	2	4	29:18	29
4	Santos U20	15	9	2	4	29:19	29
5	CA Juventus U20	15	9	2	4	15:10	29
6	Ponte Preta U20	15	9	1	5	33:19	28
7	Mirassol U20	15	6	3	6	21:13	21
8	Osasco Audax U20	15	6	3	6	27:25	21
9	Sao Caetano U20	15	6	3	6	20:23	21
10	Internacional de Limeira U20	15	6	2	7	20:19	20
11	Itapirense U20	15	5	3	7	18:26	18
12	Velo Clube U20	15	4	4	7	16:26	16
13	Aguai U20	15	4	3	8	12:25	15
14	Sfera U20	15	4	2	9	15:23	14
15	Taubate U20	15	2	2	11	10:33	8
16	Sao Jose EC U20	15	1	3	11	14:40	6

Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	15	12	1	2	61:11	37
2	Bragantino U20	15	11	2	2	36:11	35
3	Portuguesa U20	15	9	4	2	33:15	31
4	Ituano U20	15	9	3	3	37:12	30
5	Corinthians U20	15	9	2	4	29:25	29
6	Uniao Suzano U20	15	9	2	4	23:19	29
7	Santo Andre U20	15	8	1	6	26:26	25
8	Referencia U20	15	5	6	4	25:26	21
9	Botafogo SP U20	15	6	2	7	25:21	20
10	Sertaozinho U20	15	5	2	8	14:17	17
11	Agua Santa U20	15	4	4	7	20:28	16
12	Sao Bento U20	15	4	3	8	17:29	15
13	Jabaquara U20	15	4	3	8	16:30	15
14	Uniao Sao Joao U20	15	3	1	11	13:33	10
15	Aracatuba FC U20	15	1	3	11	14:48	6
16	Rio Claro U20	15	1	1	13	8:46	4

Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo U20	15	11	2	2	36:13	35
2	Guarani U20	15	11	1	3	28:13	34
3	Ibrachina U20	15	9	3	3	31:15	30
4	Osasco Sporting U20	15	7	4	4	22:17	25
5	Capivariano U20	15	7	3	5	23:15	24
6	XV de Jau U20	15	7	1	7	26:23	22
7	Piracicaba U20	15	7	1	7	19:18	22
8	Gremio Prudente U20	15	6	4	5	21:15	22
9	Portuguesa Santista U20	15	6	4	5	19:21	22
10	Desportivo U20	15	5	3	7	22:25	18
11	Maua FC U20	15	5	3	7	13:17	18
12	Bandeirante U20	15	5	3	7	18:25	18
13	Tanabi U20	15	4	4	7	19:24	16
14	Flamengo SP U20	15	4	2	9	15:32	14
15	AC Guaratingueta U20	15	3	2	10	12:35	11
16	Comercial FC - Tiete U20	15	3	0	12	20:36	9

Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)