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Capivariano vs Bandeirante

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capivariano play Bandeirante in the Paulista A3 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Capivariano averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1 conceded. Bandeirante averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Capivariano won 2, Bandeirante won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 18, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.86 for Capivariano and 1.22 for Bandeirante. This points to a Capivariano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Capivariano
29%
Draws
25%
Bandeirante
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Capivariano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Capivariano picked up more points recently compared to Bandeirante.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.86 vs 1.22 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 20%
Bandeirante Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Capivariano Bandeirante
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.86
Goals Conceded 1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2023 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Bandeirante
1:1
Feb 23, 2022 Paulista A3
Capivariano vs Bandeirante
1:1
Mar 14, 2021 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs Capivariano
2:0
Aug 28, 2011 Paulista A4
Bandeirante vs Capivariano
0:5
Aug 6, 2011 Paulista A4
Capivariano vs Bandeirante
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Capivariano 45 / 100
Bandeirante 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Capivariano Bandeirante

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Capivariano or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Capivariano attacking → ← attacking Bandeirante

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capivariano scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Bandeirante let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Capivariano went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bandeirante lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 30
0.60 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Marilia1592425:1529
2Sao Jose EC1583413:1227
3Capivariano1576228:1127
4Gremio Prudente1573521:1624
5Desportivo1573514:924
6EC Sao Bernardo1571717:1622
7Uniao Suzano1563621:1821
8Matonense1562721:1820
9Bandeirante1555519:1520
10Red Bull Brasil1554624:2319
11Rio Preto EC1554615:2119
12Itapirense1547411:1719
13Votuporanguense1545614:1917
14Sertaozinho1551915:2616
15Barretos EC1544718:2916
16Audax-SP153398:1912