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CARA Brazzaville vs Nathalys Prediction & H2H Stats

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2023/2024 game between CARA Brazzaville and Nathalys finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CARA Brazzaville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CARA Brazzaville
30%
Draws
39%
Nathalys
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nathalys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Nathalys have managed 0.57 goals a game lately — CARA Brazzaville are scoring more at 0.92.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CARA Brazzaville Clean Sheet 20%
Nathalys Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CARA Brazzaville Nathalys
Matches Played 13 28
Wins 4 4
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 0.92 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Ligue 1
CARA Brazzaville vs Nathalys
2:0
Nov 11, 2023 Ligue 1
Nathalys vs CARA Brazzaville
1:1
Apr 23, 2023 Ligue 1
Nathalys vs CARA Brazzaville
2:1
Oct 29, 2022 Ligue 1
CARA Brazzaville vs Nathalys
1:1
May 18, 2022 Ligue 1
CARA Brazzaville vs Nathalys
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CARA Brazzaville 36 / 100
Nathalys 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CARA Brazzaville Nathalys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nathalys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nathalys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

CARA Brazzaville found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (13 games).

CARA Brazzaville went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CARA Brazzaville VS Nathalys
0.13 Goals Scored 0.67
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 67%
0% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CARA Brazzaville

(Home)
23 Mar
CARA Brazzaville
1 : 1
Patronage Sainte-Anne
14 Mar
Etoile du Congo
4 : 0
CARA Brazzaville
08 Mar
CARA Brazzaville
0 : 1
Inter Club
01 Mar
Diables Noirs
2 : 1
CARA Brazzaville
23 Feb
CARA Brazzaville
2 : 0
Congo U17
Page 1 of 3

Nathalys

(Away)
23 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 2
Leopard
16 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 1
Nico-Nicoye
08 Mar
Inter PN
1 : 0
Nathalys
02 Mar
Nathalys
5 : 0
CD Jeunes
22 Feb
ACJM
0 : 0
Nathalys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leopard 26 15 7 4 33:14 52
2 Otoho d'Oyo 26 14 7 5 36:16 49
3 Inter Club 26 14 7 5 31:17 49
4 JS Talangai 26 12 5 9 24:25 41
5 Etoile du Congo 26 10 9 7 23:17 39
6 Diables Noirs 26 9 10 7 33:24 37
7 CARA Brazzaville 26 9 9 8 21:18 36
8 Cheminots 26 8 9 9 22:23 33
9 V.Club Mokanda 26 10 3 13 24:26 33
10 Kondzo 26 8 7 11 24:26 31
11 Juk 26 6 10 10 27:37 28
12 AS BNG 26 7 6 13 26:37 27
13 Vegas 26 5 7 14 18:37 22
14 Nathalys 26 3 8 15 10:35 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2023/2024 (Relegation)