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Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ramirez E.
Assist: Cova M.
37'
Nunez M.
45'
Castellanos J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Carabobo and Deportivo La Guaira finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carabobo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Carabobo
30%
Draws
19%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carabobo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Carabobo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Carabobo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Carabobo Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carabobo Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
3:1
Sep 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:0
Apr 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Carabobo vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:0
Apr 17, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carabobo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carabobo 68 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carabobo Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carabobo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carabobo scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Carabobo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Deportivo La Guaira conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Carabobo VS Deportivo La Guaira
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carabobo

(Home)
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Portuguesa
1 : 3
Carabobo
21 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 1
Mineros
17 Oct
Carabobo
2 : 2
Dep. Tachira
11 Oct
Academia Anzoategui
0 : 1
Carabobo
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
28 Oct
Carabobo
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
25 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 2
Metropolitanos
21 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
3 : 0
Aragua
17 Oct
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Trujillanos
10 Oct
Portuguesa
0 : 0
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 4 3 1 0 9:3 10
2 Deportivo La Guaira 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
3 Metropolitanos 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
4 Portuguesa 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Tachira 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Caracas 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
4 Monagas 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Final)