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Caravaca vs Bala Azul Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Caravaca and Bala Azul finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Caravaca
35%
Draws
32%
Bala Azul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bala Azul come out ahead of Caravaca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Caravaca's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 68%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaca Bala Azul
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
2:4
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Bala Azul
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Bala Azul
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
1:1
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Caravaca
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaca 68 / 100
Bala Azul 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaca Bala Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravaca's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bala Azul let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Caravaca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Caravaca VS Bala Azul
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaca

(Home)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

Bala Azul

(Away)
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)