Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to La Union CF lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
- Model gives Caravaca a 39% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors La Union CF here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 20%
La Union CF Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caravaca | La Union CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 15 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs La Union CF
1:1
Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Caravaca
2:1
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
La Union CF vs Caravaca
2:0
Aug 31, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs La Union CF
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caravaca 85 / 100
La Union CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caravaca La Union CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaca found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).
La Union CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Caravaca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Caravaca VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Caravaca
(Home) 09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
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03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
04 Apr
Caravaca
3 : 0 Minerva
22 Mar
Caravaca
0 : 1 Aguilas FC B
15 Mar
Caravaca
0 : 2 UCAM Murcia B
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La Union CF
(Away) 14 May
La Union CF
0 : 1 Deportiva Minera
07 May
Huercal-Overa CF
3 : 0 La Union CF
30 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 2 EDMF Churra
23 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
4 : 0 La Union CF
13 Apr
La Union CF
2 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
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07 May
Huercal-Overa CF
3 : 0 La Union CF
23 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
4 : 0 La Union CF
09 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 2 La Union CF
25 Mar
Muleno CF
2 : 0 La Union CF
05 Mar
La Union (Malacitano)
0 : 0 La Union CF
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 64:16 | 78 |
| 2 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 62:29 | 77 |
| 3 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71:30 | 66 |
| 4 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 58:39 | 63 |
| 5 | Yeclano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:27 | 62 |
| 6 | La Union CF | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 51:38 | 59 |
| 7 | Huercal-Overa CF | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 42:41 | 50 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 9 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56:61 | 46 |
| 10 | Muleno CF | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 40:48 | 45 |
| 11 | Estudiantes de Murcia CF | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 50:42 | 41 |
| 12 | EDMF Churra | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 37:45 | 41 |
| 13 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:56 | 39 |
| 14 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 35 |
| 15 | Pinatar | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 41:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35:55 | 31 |
| 17 | EF Alhama | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 39:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Caravaca | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 29:113 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
