Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Almansa S. G.
48'
48'
Morete
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caravaca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mazarron FC lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
- Model gives Caravaca a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 68%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Caravaca | Mazarron FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Mazarron FC
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Caravaca
1:1
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Mazarron FC
2:0
Dec 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs Caravaca
3:0
Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Mazarron FC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Caravaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Morete
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6
Mazarron FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Almansa S. G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Caravaca 86 / 100
Mazarron FC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Caravaca Mazarron FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Caravaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Caravaca found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Mazarron FC has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Caravaca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Caravaca VS Mazarron FC
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Caravaca
(Home) 09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
04 Apr
Caravaca
3 : 0 Minerva
22 Mar
Caravaca
0 : 1 Aguilas FC B
15 Mar
Caravaca
0 : 2 UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 3
Mazarron FC
(Away) 20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2 Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2 Cotillas CD
24 May
Real Murcia B
2 : 0 Mazarron FC
16 May
Mazarron FC
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
24 May
Real Murcia B
2 : 0 Mazarron FC
10 May
CA Pulpileno
0 : 1 Mazarron FC
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
3 : 3 Mazarron FC
19 Apr
Muleno CF
1 : 1 Mazarron FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
