Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Caravaggio vs Darfo Boario

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 game between Caravaggio and Darfo Boario finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Darfo Boario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Caravaggio
20%
Draws
30%
Darfo Boario
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Caravaggio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Caravaggio taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 18%
Darfo Boario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Caravaggio Darfo Boario
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.19 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Darfo Boario
1:2
Sep 30, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Caravaggio
1:1
Jan 28, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Caravaggio
0:1
Sep 24, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Darfo Boario
1:2
Mar 5, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Darfo Boario vs Caravaggio
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Caravaggio 85 / 100
Darfo Boario 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Caravaggio Darfo Boario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Caravaggio scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Darfo Boario conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Caravaggio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Caravaggio VS Darfo Boario
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Caravaggio

(Home)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 8

Darfo Boario

(Away)
14 Aug
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Pro Palazzolo
05 Sept
Darfo Boario
0 : 5
Brescia
21 Jul
Darfo Boario
1 : 5
Brescia
12 May
Darfo Boario
2 : 3
Ambrosiana
05 May
Darfo Boario
3 : 1
Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)