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Cardassar vs Pena Deportiva

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Montori A.
90' Event
Fraile M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Cardassar and Pena Deportiva finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cardassar
20%
Draws
23%
Pena Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pena Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cardassar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 68%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardassar Pena Deportiva
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Pena Deportiva
0:2
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Cardassar
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardassar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Pena Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Montori A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fraile M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardassar 95 / 100
Pena Deportiva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardassar Pena Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardassar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Cardassar scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Pena Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Cardassar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cardassar VS Pena Deportiva
1.29 Goals Scored 2.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
43% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardassar

(Home)
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
Page 1 of 6

Pena Deportiva

(Away)
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2
Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)