Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cardiff U23 vs Millwall U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022 Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Zimba C.
74' Event
Davies I.

AI Match Summary

The Professional Development League 2021/2022 game between Cardiff U23 and Millwall U23 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cardiff U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cardiff U23
15%
Draws
37%
Millwall U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cardiff U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cardiff U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Millwall U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cardiff U23 Millwall U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.83 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2021 Professional Development League
Millwall U23 vs Cardiff U23
1:0
Sep 27, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Millwall U23
2:0
Feb 16, 2021 Professional Development League
Cardiff U23 vs Millwall U23
3:0
Nov 25, 2020 Professional Development League
Millwall U23 vs Cardiff U23
2:0
Feb 3, 2020 Professional Development League
Millwall U23 vs Cardiff U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cardiff U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimba C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Millwall U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cardiff U23 36 / 100
Millwall U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cardiff U23 Millwall U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff U23's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Millwall U23 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Cardiff U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cardiff U23 VS Millwall U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cardiff U23

(Home)
03 May
Cardiff U23
2 : 1
Crewe U23
25 Apr
Coventry U23
1 : 2
Cardiff U23
19 Apr
Charlton U23
6 : 1
Cardiff U23
11 Apr
Hull City U23
3 : 0
Cardiff U23
05 Apr
Cardiff U23
2 : 0
Barnsley U23
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Millwall U23

(Away)
03 May
Millwall U23
2 : 1
Sheffield Wed U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3
Colchester U23
26 Apr
Sheffield Utd U23
1 : 1
Millwall U23
01 Apr
Millwall U23
1 : 0
Peterborough U23
21 Mar
Wigan U23
3 : 1
Millwall U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)