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Cariri FC vs Iguatu

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2025 Estadio Mauro Sampaio (Romeirao), Juazeiro do Norte
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mateuzinho
19'
Sub
Jackson In: Ocie
Out: Jackson
19' Event
Eduardo Junior

AI Match Summary

Iguatu in this Cearense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iguatu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cariri FC
40%
Draws
29%
Iguatu
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Iguatu have won more games recently than Cariri FC.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cearense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Cariri FC Clean Sheet 20%
Iguatu Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cariri FC Iguatu
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 13
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.2 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.20 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.60 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Cearense
Iguatu vs Cariri FC
3:0
Feb 3, 2025 Cearense
Cariri FC vs Iguatu
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cariri FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Gabriel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.1

Iguatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Junior
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wagner Vidal
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cariri FC 32 / 100
Iguatu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cariri FC Iguatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Iguatu let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Cariri FC's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cariri FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cariri FC VS Iguatu
0.2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.6 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cariri FC

(Home)
20 May
Crateus
1 : 0
Cariri FC
13 May
Barbalha
0 : 0
Cariri FC
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
25 Apr
Icasa
0 : 1
Cariri FC
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
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Iguatu

(Away)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1
Iguatu
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2
Iguatu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara550012:315
2Maracana52126:47
3Horizonte51315:66
4Floresta EC51227:85
5Cariri FC50052:210
Promotion - Cearense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza540113:312
2Tirol52218:38
3Ferroviario52128:77
4Iguatu51227:55
5Barbalha51136:144
Promotion - Cearense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2025 (Relegation)