Sport Picks
Carmarthen Town vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Wales
Cymru South 2024/2025 Richmond Park, Carmarthen 
Match Events
8'
8'
Thomas J.
12'
12'
Jones G.
22'
22'
Daley N.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South 2024/2025 game between Carmarthen Town and Penrhiwceiber Rangers finished 5-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Carmarthen Town come out ahead of Penrhiwceiber Rangers on wins alone.
- Penrhiwceiber Rangers are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Carmarthen Town Clean Sheet 20%
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carmarthen Town | Penrhiwceiber Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Carmarthen Town vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
4:0
Apr 12, 2025 Cymru South
Carmarthen Town vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
5:5
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru South
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Carmarthen Town
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 FA Cup
Penrhiwceiber Rangers vs Carmarthen Town
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carmarthen Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Daley N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Jones G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Penrhiwceiber Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas J.
3 Goals Assists Leader Orford O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carmarthen Town 12 / 100
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carmarthen Town Penrhiwceiber Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.25 goals.
Carmarthen Town scored in 76% of their last 34 games.
Penrhiwceiber Rangers has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Carmarthen Town went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carmarthen Town VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Carmarthen Town
(Home) 14 Jul
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Briton Ferry
07 Jul
Carmarthen Town
1 : 3 Cardiff Metropolitan University
03 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 2 Trefelin
18 Apr
Treowen
4 : 1 Carmarthen Town
04 Apr
Carmarthen Town
0 : 1 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 7
14 Jul
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Briton Ferry
07 Jul
Carmarthen Town
1 : 3 Cardiff Metropolitan University
03 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 2 Trefelin
04 Apr
Carmarthen Town
0 : 1 Pontypridd United
21 Mar
Carmarthen Town
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
(Away) 22 Nov
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
0 : 3 Gresford
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
7 : 0 Pentwynmawr Ath
11 Jul
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
5 : 3 Newport City
05 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 0 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
05 Jul
Carmarthen Town
4 : 0 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
27 Jun
Caerau Ely
4 : 1 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
12 Apr
Carmarthen Town
5 : 5 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
28 Mar
Caerau Ely
0 : 1 Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llanelli | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 64:25 | 64 |
| 2 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Newport City | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 50:32 | 54 |
| 4 | Trefelin | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 54:41 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 54:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Cambrian United | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 50:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 55:44 | 45 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 44:34 | 43 |
| 9 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 37:34 | 43 |
| 10 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 47:50 | 36 |
| 11 | Afan Lido | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 44:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 42:43 | 32 |
| 13 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:62 | 30 |
| 14 | Penrhiwceiber Rangers | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 30:57 | 28 |
| 15 | Goytre Utd | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 41:72 | 23 |
| 16 | Taffs Well | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 32:76 | 15 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)
