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Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Truist Point, High Point, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Zerkane M.
35'
Sub
Zerkane M. In: Diaz D.
Out: Zerkane M.
40' Event
Hyte D.
Assist: Glyut V.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Carolina Core and Chicago Fire II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Core.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Carolina Core
15%
Draws
28%
Chicago Fire II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carolina Core

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Carolina Core haven't matched Chicago Fire II's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Carolina Core taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Chicago Fire II have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carolina Core Chicago Fire II
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II
1:5
May 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Carolina Core
1:0
Jun 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Chicago Fire II
1:2
Apr 22, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Carolina Core
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeegers T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diakite M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyte D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Core 83 / 100
Chicago Fire II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carolina Core Chicago Fire II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carolina Core Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carolina Core's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Chicago Fire II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Chicago Fire II registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carolina Core VS Chicago Fire II
2.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Carolina Core

(Home)
20 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
Carolina Core
12 Sept
Crown Legacy
2 : 3
Carolina Core
04 Sept
Carolina Core
3 : 2
New England Revolution II
29 Aug
Chattanooga
5 : 2
Carolina Core
22 Aug
Carolina Core
1 : 3
FC Cincinnati 2
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Fire II

(Away)
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Crown Legacy
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
23 Aug
Chicago Fire II
3 : 1
Inter Miami II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)