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Carolina Core vs Orlando City B

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 Truist Point
Sat, Sep 27, 2025
3 - 4
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Carolina Core play Orlando City B in the MLS Next Pro 2025. Orlando City B are favorites here. Recently, Carolina Core averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. Orlando City B averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Carolina Core won 0, Orlando City B won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Carolina Core and 1.81 for Orlando City B. This points to a Orlando City B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Carolina Core
15%
Draws
56%
Orlando City B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orlando City B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Carolina Core picked up more points recently compared to Orlando City B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 11%
Orlando City B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carolina Core Orlando City B
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Carolina Core
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Carolina Core
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Orlando City B
2:3
Sep 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Orlando City B
3:4
Jul 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Carolina Core
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonardi P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chica D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Orlando City B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammed S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caraballo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carolina Core 28 / 100
Orlando City B 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carolina Core Orlando City B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando City B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Orlando City B & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Carolina Core attacking → ← attacking Orlando City B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carolina Core scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Orlando City B let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Carolina Core went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Orlando City B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 42
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717