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Carpi U19 vs Novara U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Primavera - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2015/2016 game between Carpi U19 and Novara U19 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novara U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Carpi U19
15%
Draws
64%
Novara U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Novara U19 come out ahead of Carpi U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Novara U19 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Novara U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Carpi U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Novara U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpi U19 Novara U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 0.97 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 Primavera 2
Carpi U19 vs Novara U19
0:1
Dec 2, 2017 Primavera 2
Novara U19 vs Carpi U19
3:0
Oct 9, 2016 Coppa Italia Primavera
Novara U19 vs Carpi U19
3:1
Apr 30, 2016 Primavera - Group A
Carpi U19 vs Novara U19
0:1
Dec 12, 2015 Primavera - Group A
Novara U19 vs Carpi U19
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpi U19 10 / 100
Novara U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpi U19 Novara U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novara U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Carpi U19 scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Carpi U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carpi U19 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpi U19

(Home)
20 Apr
Brescia U19
3 : 2
Carpi U19
06 Apr
Carpi U19
2 : 2
Parma U19
30 Mar
Padova U19
2 : 0
Carpi U19
09 Mar
Carpi U19
3 : 0
Cremonese U19
02 Mar
Verona U19
4 : 0
Carpi U19
Page 1 of 7

Novara U19

(Away)
16 May
Novara U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
05 May
Brescia U19
1 : 2
Novara U19
28 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 0
Cittadella U19
21 Apr
Carpi U19
0 : 1
Novara U19
14 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 1
Parma U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U19 26 19 2 5 61:27 59
2 Entella U19 26 18 3 5 69:40 57
3 Torino U19 26 17 5 4 53:19 56
4 Fiorentina U19 26 17 4 5 61:32 55
5 Sassuolo U19 26 15 4 7 58:44 49
6 Sampdoria U19 26 14 5 7 52:30 47
7 Genoa U19 26 11 7 8 48:33 40
8 Spezia U19 26 9 4 13 37:54 31
9 Novara U19 26 8 6 12 37:42 30
10 Modena U19 26 5 8 13 18:39 23
11 Carpi U19 26 5 5 16 29:55 20
12 Pro Vercelli U19 26 5 4 17 29:62 19
13 Livorno U19 26 4 3 19 24:54 15
14 Trapani U19 26 2 6 18 23:68 12
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2015/2016 (Qualification)