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Carpina SC vs Afogadense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2012
Carpina SC Logo

Carpina SC

3 - 0
FT
Afogadense Logo

Afogadense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Carpina SC in this Pernambucano 2 2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carpina SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Carpina SC
15%
Draws
36%
Afogadense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carpina SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carpina SC lately — more wins on the board than Afogadense.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Carpina SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Carpina SC Clean Sheet 14%
Afogadense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carpina SC Afogadense
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Carpina SC vs Afogadense
3:0
Jul 22, 2012 Pernambucano 2
Afogadense vs Carpina SC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carpina SC 57 / 100
Afogadense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carpina SC Afogadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carpina SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpina SC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Afogadense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Carpina SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carpina SC VS Afogadense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carpina SC

(Home)
10 Oct
Carpina SC
2 : 3
Timbauba FC
03 Oct
Ipojuca
1 : 2
Carpina SC
26 Sept
Centro Limoeirense
2 : 3
Carpina SC
23 Sept
Carpina SC
3 : 2
Jaguar
19 Sept
Sete de Setembro (PE)
0 : 2
Carpina SC
Page 1 of 6

Afogadense

(Away)
10 Oct
Cabense
3 : 0
Afogadense
03 Oct
Afogadense
5 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
30 Sept
Olinda FC
5 : 1
Afogadense
26 Sept
Afogadense
2 : 0
Pesqueira
23 Sept
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 2
Afogadense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cha Grande 28 18 7 3 64:27 61
2 Cabense 28 17 7 4 52:17 58
3 Pesqueira 28 18 2 8 50:29 56
4 Olinda FC 28 17 8 3 62:28 56
5 Academica Vitoria 28 14 8 6 53:36 50
6 Carpina SC 28 14 5 9 39:29 47
7 Afogadense 28 12 9 7 48:42 45
8 Timbauba FC 28 12 7 9 35:26 43
9 Ipojuca 28 9 7 12 41:40 34
10 Jaguar 28 5 10 13 40:53 25
11 Sete de Setembro (PE) 28 5 10 13 28:50 25
12 Centro Limoeirense 28 6 3 19 30:64 21
13 Ibis Sport Club 28 4 9 15 31:64 21
14 Ferroviario do Cabo 28 4 6 18 30:61 18
15 Atletico PE 28 2 8 18 22:59 14
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2012 (Play Offs)