Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carrarese vs Benevento Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Siatounis A.
49'
Sub
Rubino T. In: Topalovic L.
Out: Rubino T.
49'
Sub
Schiavi N. In: Parlanti G.
Out: Schiavi N.

AI Match Summary

Benevento in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benevento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Carrarese
20%
Draws
70%
Benevento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benevento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Benevento lately — more wins on the board than Carrarese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 13%
Benevento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrarese Benevento
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie B
Carrarese vs Benevento
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Benevento vs Carrarese
2:2
May 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Carrarese vs Benevento
1:0
Feb 10, 2013 Lega Pro C1/B
Benevento vs Carrarese
1:0
Sep 30, 2012 Lega Pro C1/B
Carrarese vs Benevento
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrarese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Benevento Compare

Top Goalscorer Prisco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrarese 35 / 100
Benevento 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrarese Benevento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benevento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benevento let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Carrarese scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Carrarese stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrarese VS Benevento
0.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrarese

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
12 Sept
Catanzaro
1 : 0
Carrarese
05 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Empoli
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1
Carrarese
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
Page 1 of 6

Benevento

(Away)
19 Sept
Carrarese
0 : 1
Benevento
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0
Benevento
30 Aug
Benevento
1 : 1
Sudtirol
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 10:5 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7:6 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6:13 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 4:6 6
14 Entella 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
16 Vicenza 5 1 2 2 7:10 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 4:7 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 2:6 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)