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Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Allen C.
27' Event
Allen C.
65' Event
Rutkowski I.

AI Match Summary

Ballymena in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballymena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Carrick Rangers
35%
Draws
28%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carrick Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Ballymena.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 19%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Ballymena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena
0:3
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rutkowski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 31 / 100
Ballymena 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ballymena has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Carrick Rangers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Ballymena
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4
Carrick Rangers
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Ballymena

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
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