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Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Allen C.
27' Event
Allen C.
65' Event
Rutkowski I.

AI Match Summary

Ballymena in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballymena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Carrick Rangers
20%
Draws
29%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carrick Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Ballymena.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Carrick Rangers taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ballymena have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 14%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Ballymena
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.37 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena
0:3
Apr 11, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Allen C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rutkowski I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 48 / 100
Ballymena 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carrick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Carrick Rangers scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Ballymena let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Carrick Rangers stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Ballymena
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
29 Aug
Bangor FC
0 : 4
Carrick Rangers
22 Aug
Carrick Rangers
0 : 2
Coleraine
15 Aug
Limavady
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
08 Aug
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Portadown
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Ballymena

(Away)
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1
Ballymena
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