Sport Picks
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus 
Match Events
45'
45'
Wylie B.
82'
82'
Lecky A.
91'
91'
Shevlin M.
AI Match Summary
Coleraine in this Irish Cup tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Carrick Rangers.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Coleraine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Coleraine, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Coleraine have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Carrick Rangers | Coleraine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.71 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.57 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
1:4
Dec 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Carrick Rangers
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Carrick Rangers Compare
Top Goalscorer Lecky A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85
Coleraine Compare
Top Goalscorer Shevlin M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Wylie B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Carrick Rangers 30 / 100
Coleraine 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Carrick Rangers Coleraine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carrick Rangers's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Coleraine let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Carrick Rangers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Carrick Rangers VS Coleraine
1.71 Goals Scored 2.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Carrick Rangers
(Home) 24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3 Ballymena
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5 Carrick Rangers
18 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 3 Carrick Rangers
06 May
Dungannon
3 : 1 Carrick Rangers
25 Apr
Glenavon
2 : 3 Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3 Ballymena
11 Apr
Carrick Rangers
2 : 3 Ballymena
28 Mar
Carrick Rangers
6 : 1 Crusaders
20 Mar
Carrick Rangers
2 : 0 Linfield
28 Feb
Carrick Rangers
1 : 1 Bangor FC
Page 1 of 3
Coleraine
(Away) 23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0 Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2 Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5 Coleraine
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portstewart
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0 Coleraine
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2 Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5 Coleraine
07 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1 Coleraine
03 Jul
Larne
1 : 0 Coleraine
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD-
Loughgall-
Wakehurst2
Knockbreda4
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newbuildings1
Moyola2
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Comber Rec3
Hanover1
Ballymacash4
Willowbank0
Strabane Athletic2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Armagh-
TBD-
Newry City1
Drumaness2
Lisburn Distillery4
Finaghy FC2
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Limavady-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers5
Dergview4
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Loughgall2
Knockbreda0
Ballinamallard0
Institute3
Cliftonville3
Dundela0
Glenavon4
Newington FC2
Portadown4
Annagh2
Dungannon3
Ards0
Moyola2
Harland & Wolff4
Comber Rec0
Ballymacash3
Strabane Athletic0
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Drumaness4
Lisburn Distillery3
Warrenpoint4
Ballymena1
Larne2
Limavady4
Lisburn Rangers1
Linfield1
Bangor FC0
Carrick Rangers5
Queens University1
Coleraine4
Crusaders0
1/8-finals
Loughgall2
Institute1
Cliftonville2
Glenavon1
Portadown1
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff3
Ballymacash0
Glentoran5
Drumaness0
Warrenpoint0
Larne2
Limavady1
Linfield0
Carrick Rangers1
Coleraine4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
Dungannon3
Harland & Wolff0
Glentoran1
Larne2
Limavady0
Coleraine2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Larne1
Coleraine2
Final
Dungannon2
Coleraine3
