Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Loughview Leisure Arena, Carrickfergus
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Weir R.
26' Event
Steele A.
30' Event
Lecky A.

AI Match Summary

Carrick Rangers in this NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Carrick Rangers
20%
Draws
32%
Crusaders
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carrick Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carrick Rangers lately — more wins on the board than Crusaders.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Carrick Rangers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 13%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carrick Rangers Crusaders
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders
6:1
Dec 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers
3:4
Dec 30, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Heatley P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Steele A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Crusaders Compare

Top Goalscorer Bryden F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carrick Rangers 84 / 100
Crusaders 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carrick Rangers Crusaders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Crusaders conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Carrick Rangers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Carrick Rangers VS Crusaders
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Carrick Rangers

(Home)
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5
Carrick Rangers
18 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Crusaders

(Away)
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0
Dundela
28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1
Newington FC
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1
Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Carrick Rangers 38 15 8 15 64:58 53
8 Portadown 38 13 5 20 44:66 44
9 Ballymena 38 10 9 19 46:58 39
10 Bangor FC 38 10 9 19 41:65 39
11 Crusaders 38 10 6 22 48:81 36
12 Glenavon 38 8 4 26 37:69 28
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)