Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Carshalton vs Tooting & Mitcham

England England

FA Trophy 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ghandour H.
50' Event
Bradford T.
56' Event
Amoo J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Carshalton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Carshalton
20%
Draws
51%
Tooting & Mitcham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tooting & Mitcham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carshalton come out ahead of Tooting & Mitcham on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Carshalton taking it.
  • Carshalton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Carshalton, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Carshalton here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 16%
Tooting & Mitcham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Carshalton Tooting & Mitcham
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2019 FA Trophy
Carshalton vs Tooting & Mitcham
2:1
Apr 9, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Tooting & Mitcham
3:0
Dec 26, 2011 Isthmian League Premier Division
Tooting & Mitcham vs Carshalton
4:3
Nov 20, 2010 Isthmian League Premier Division
Tooting & Mitcham vs Carshalton
0:5
Sep 18, 2010 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Tooting & Mitcham
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradford T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amoo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Tooting & Mitcham Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghandour H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Carshalton 36 / 100
Tooting & Mitcham 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Carshalton Tooting & Mitcham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carshalton's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Tooting & Mitcham conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Carshalton remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Carshalton VS Tooting & Mitcham
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 7
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Carshalton

(Home)
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
05 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 1
Carshalton
Page 1 of 6

Tooting & Mitcham

(Away)
18 Jul
Kingstonian
7 : 2
Tooting & Mitcham
16 Jul
Tooting & Mitcham
0 : 5
Merstham
29 Jul
Croydon FC
0 : 1
Tooting & Mitcham
18 Jul
Tooting & Mitcham
1 : 1
Raynes Park Vale
15 Jul
Tooting & Mitcham
3 : 1
Corinthian-Casuals
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Workington 0
Farsley 1
York City 0
Altrincham 1
Barnet -
TBD -
Weymouth 1
Hastings 0
Atherton Collieries 1
Boston United 0
TBD -
Barrow -
Runcorn Linnets 0
United of Manchester 3
Peterborough Sports 0
Kettering 3
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Gloucester City 0
Bradford PA 2
Halesowen 1
Gateshead 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Haringey Borough 1
Hemel Hempstead 4
Maidstone 3
Dartford 2
Concord Rangers 3
Slough Town 2
Bath City 3
Gosport Borough 2
Sholing 2
Paulton Rovers 1
Kingstonian 2
Sudbury 1
TBD -
Woking -
Guiseley 0
Telford 4
Leamington 2
Spennymoor 1
Enfield Town 4
Maldon & Tiptree 3
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
King’s Lynn 3
Hereford 0
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Wealdstone 2
Royston Town 3
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Hednesford 2
Coalville Town 1
Brackley 0
Chester 1
Leatherhead 0
Dorking Wanderers 3
TBD -
Bromley -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Blyth Spartans 4
Alfreton 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton 3
Kidderminster 0
Stourbridge 1
South Shields 5
Colne 2
Southport 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Darlington FC 2
Gainsborough 1
Harrogate -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Braintree 1
Yate 2
Matlock 2
Redditch 0
TBD -
Chorley -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Welling 3
St. Albans 1
Tonbridge 2
Bognor Regis 1
Billericay 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Oxford City 5
Hornchurch 6
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Chippenham Town 3
Carshalton 2
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Aveley 4
Chelmsford 2
Hungerford 1
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Cinderford Town 1
Eastbourne Borough 3
Hartley Wintney 1
Salisbury 4
Hayes & Yeading 3
1/32-finals
Farsley 4
Altrincham 3
Barnet 2
Weymouth 1
Atherton Collieries 2
Barrow 4
United of Manchester 2
Kettering 1
Torquay 5
Aldershot 1
Halifax 4
Wrexham 0
Bradford PA 2
Halesowen 4
Maidenhead 4
Hemel Hempstead 2
Maidstone 2
Concord Rangers 3
Bath City 2
Sholing 0
Kingstonian 3
Woking 1
Telford 0
Leamington 5
Enfield Town 0
Ebbsfleet 2
King’s Lynn 3
Dover Ath. 2
Royston Town 2
Boreham Wood 0
Hednesford 1
Chester 2
Dorking Wanderers 3
Bromley 0
Stockport County 4
Blyth Spartans 2
AFC Fylde 1
Curzon Ashton 0
South Shields 3
Southport 5
Solihull Moors 2
Darlington FC 3
Harrogate 3
Hartlepool 2
Eastleigh 6
Yate 1
Matlock 5
Chorley 4
Yeovil 3
Welling 1
Tonbridge 2
Hampton & Richmond 4
Chesterfield 0
Notts County 1
Sutton 3
Dagenham & Red. 4
Hornchurch 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Carshalton 3
Aveley 5
Chelmsford 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Salisbury 3
1/16-finals
Farsley 1
Barnet 3
Barrow 7
United of Manchester 0
Torquay 1
Halifax 2
Halesowen 5
Maidenhead 3
Concord Rangers 3
Bath City 2
Kingstonian 1
Leamington 2
Ebbsfleet 1
King’s Lynn 0
Royston Town 3
Chester 0
Dorking Wanderers 5
Stockport County 1
AFC Fylde 4
Southport 1
Darlington FC 0
Harrogate 2
Eastleigh 2
Matlock 1
Yeovil 4
Hampton & Richmond 0
Notts County 2
Dagenham & Red. 1
Hornchurch 1
Aveley 2
Chelmsford 4
Salisbury 0
1/8-finals
Barnet 3
Barrow 0
Halifax 0
Halesowen 1
Concord Rangers 3
Leamington 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Royston Town 2
Dorking Wanderers 2
AFC Fylde 4
Harrogate 2
Eastleigh 0
Yeovil 1
Notts County 2
Aveley 3
Chelmsford 1
Quarter-finals
Barnet 1
Halesowen 2
Concord Rangers 2
Royston Town 1
AFC Fylde 2
Harrogate 3
Notts County 5
Aveley 0
Semi-finals
Halesowen 1
Concord Rangers 2
Harrogate 1
Notts County 0
Final
Concord Rangers 0
Harrogate 1