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Cartagena FC UCAM vs Calasparra FC

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 game between Cartagena FC UCAM and Calasparra FC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Cartagena FC UCAM
22%
Draws
18%
Calasparra FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cartagena FC UCAM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagena FC UCAM carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cartagena FC UCAM's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Cartagena FC UCAM Clean Sheet 16%
Calasparra FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena FC UCAM Calasparra FC
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Cartagena FC UCAM
1:1
Dec 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Calasparra FC
2:3
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs Calasparra FC
2:2
Dec 16, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Calasparra FC vs Cartagena FC UCAM
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena FC UCAM 57 / 100
Calasparra FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena FC UCAM Calasparra FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Calasparra FC conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Away concern: Calasparra FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cartagena FC UCAM scored in 57% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena FC UCAM VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena FC UCAM

(Home)
01 May
Cartagena FC UCAM
1 : 1
Bullense
24 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
3 : 0
Cartagena FC UCAM
17 Apr
Cartagena FC UCAM
0 : 2
La Union (Malacitano)
10 Apr
Lorca Deportiva
2 : 0
Cartagena FC UCAM
03 Apr
Cartagena FC UCAM
0 : 2
Racing Murcia
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Calasparra FC

(Away)
15 May
Pinatar
4 : 3
Calasparra FC
08 May
Calasparra FC
1 : 1
Cartagena FC UCAM
01 May
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Calasparra FC
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
UCAM Murcia
6 : 0
Calasparra FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)