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Cartagena FC UCAM vs UD Los Garres

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

Cartagena FC UCAM in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartagena FC UCAM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cartagena FC UCAM
44%
Draws
20%
UD Los Garres
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagena FC UCAM lately — more wins on the board than UD Los Garres.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cartagena FC UCAM Clean Sheet 21%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena FC UCAM UD Los Garres
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs UD Los Garres
4:1
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Cartagena FC UCAM
2:1
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Cartagena FC UCAM
0:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Cartagena FC UCAM vs UD Los Garres
3:1
Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UD Los Garres vs Cartagena FC UCAM
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena FC UCAM 37 / 100
UD Los Garres 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena FC UCAM UD Los Garres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Los Garres conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

UD Los Garres's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cartagena FC UCAM's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena FC UCAM VS UD Los Garres
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Yeclano34248271:2180
2FC Cartagena SAD B34179861:3260
3Racing Murcia341512748:2757
4UCAM Murcia B341591049:3454
5La Union (Malacitano)341591044:3154
6Lorca Deportiva341510952:4253
7Real Murcia B341491149:4651
8Caravaca3413111044:4050
9Ciudad de Murcia341381347:4547
10Bullense341271534:5043
11E.G. El Palmar3411101341:4443
12Archena Sport341271548:4943
13Deportiva Minera341261639:5142
14Bala Azul3410101430:4540
15Cartagena FC UCAM341081635:4938
16Mazarron CF341071733:4837
17Huercal-Overa CF345101926:5425
18UD Los Garres34482223:6620