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Cartagena vs Ind. Yumbo

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
01:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena host Ind. Yumbo in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Cartagena have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Ind. Yumbo's 0.71 scored and 1.57 conceded. Past meetings favor Cartagena slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 4, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.48 - 1.10) back Cartagena to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cartagena
6%
Draws
4%
Ind. Yumbo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cartagena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cartagena have won more games recently than Ind. Yumbo.
  • Model gives Cartagena a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 20%
Ind. Yumbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena Ind. Yumbo
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.38 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Primera B
Ind. Yumbo vs Cartagena
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena 85 / 100
Ind. Yumbo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena Ind. Yumbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RCA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Ind. Yumbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 20 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cartagena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cartagena VS Ind. Yumbo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Cartagena

(Home)
26 Jul
Cartagena
5 : 1
Real Santander
22 Jul
America De Cali
2 : 1
Cartagena
29 May
Envigado
1 : 1
Cartagena
26 May
Cartagena
2 : 3
Envigado
22 May
Cartagena
2 : 1
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Yumbo

(Away)
28 Jul
Atletico F.C.
0 : 2
Ind. Yumbo
21 May
Jaguares de Cordoba
3 : 0
Ind. Yumbo
18 May
Ind. Yumbo
1 : 4
Aguilas Doradas
13 May
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 0
Ind. Yumbo
07 May
Ind. Yumbo
1 : 1
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena11005:13
2Patriotas11003:13
3Ind. Yumbo11002:03
4Envigado11001:03
5Leones11001:03
6Bogota11001:03
7Boca Juniors de Cali11001:03
8Orsomarso11001:03
9Quindio10010:10
10Tigres Futbol Club10010:10
11Real Cundinamarca10010:10
12Union Magdalena10010:10
13Barranquilla10010:10
14Inter Palmira10011:30
15Atletico F.C.10010:20
16Real Santander10011:50
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)