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Cartagena W vs Union Magdalena W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Aguila Women 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cartagena W play Union Magdalena W in the Liga Aguila Women 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cartagena W averaged 0.94 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. Union Magdalena W averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Cartagena W won 1, Union Magdalena W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2018 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Cartagena W and 2.88 for Union Magdalena W. This points to a Union Magdalena W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cartagena W
15%
Draws
55%
Union Magdalena W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Magdalena W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Cartagena W picked up more points recently compared to Union Magdalena W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 2.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Cartagena W Clean Sheet 10%
Union Magdalena W Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cartagena W Union Magdalena W
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 5 10
Draws 1 2
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.94 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2018 Liga Women
Union Magdalena W vs Cartagena W
4:0
Feb 18, 2018 Liga Women
Cartagena W vs Union Magdalena W
1:4
Apr 9, 2017 Liga Women
Cartagena W vs Union Magdalena W
4:1
Feb 25, 2017 Liga Women
Union Magdalena W vs Cartagena W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cartagena W 29 / 100
Union Magdalena W 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cartagena W Union Magdalena W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Magdalena W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Union Magdalena W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cartagena W attacking → ← attacking Union Magdalena W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagena W scored in 50% of their last 18 games.

Union Magdalena W let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cartagena W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Union Magdalena W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 32
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Envigado W10100036:330
2Bucaramanga W1060419:1118
3Cartagena W1051414:1216
4Union Magdalena W1051413:1416
5Alianza W1011810:334
6Real Santander W101187:264
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Indep. Santa Fe W10100032:530
2Cucuta W1060422:1618
3Huila W1052321:1317
4Patriotas W1023511:209
5Fortaleza W102178:237
6Inter Bogotá W102086:236
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orsomarso W1081122:425
2Inter Palmira W1062223:820
3America de Cali W1054124:919
4Dep. Pasto W102176:267
5Quindio W102178:197
6Deportivo Pereira W1021710:277