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Casa de Portugal vs Lun Lok

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Deng C.
27' Event
Chu Kai Wang
28' Event
Da Silva M.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2022 game between Casa de Portugal and Lun Lok finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lun Lok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Casa de Portugal
6%
Draws
4%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Casa de Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Casa de Portugal haven't matched Lun Lok's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Casa de Portugal a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 20%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa de Portugal Lun Lok
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Lun Lok
1:3
Jan 29, 2022 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Casa de Portugal
3:0
Jun 12, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Lun Lok
1:3
Mar 13, 2021 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Casa de Portugal
2:2
Oct 3, 2020 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Casa de Portugal
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casa de Portugal Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Deng C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chu Kai Wang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa de Portugal 85 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa de Portugal Lun Lok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lun Lok has conceded goals in 87% of their last 39 outings.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Lun Lok's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Casa de Portugal found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Lun Lok
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 4.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO16160095:448
2Monte Carlo16130383:1539
3Benfica16112354:1335
4Cheng Fung1681740:2525
5Tak Chun Ka I1653825:4818
6Lun Lok1653819:4518
7CFB Macau1635813:6314
8Sporting Macau1615109:458
9Casa de Portugal1601156:861
10Policia00000:00