Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Casa vs ASC HLM

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Casa Logo

Casa

0 - 0
FT
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Casa and ASC HLM finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Casa
35%
Draws
30%
ASC HLM
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Casa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Casa Clean Sheet 20%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa ASC HLM
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 19 18
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.97 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs ASC HLM
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Casa
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Casa vs ASC HLM
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Casa
2:1
Aug 6, 2011 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Casa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa 31 / 100
ASC HLM 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa ASC HLM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Casa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

ASC HLM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Casa VS ASC HLM
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa

(Home)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 6

ASC HLM

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)