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Casa vs Guediawaye

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Casa Logo

Casa

1 - 1
FT
Guediawaye Logo

Guediawaye

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Casa
20%
Draws
29%
Guediawaye
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Casa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Casa and Guediawaye on recent form.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Casa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Casa Clean Sheet 20%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casa Guediawaye
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 19 8
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Casa vs Guediawaye
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Casa
2:0
Jun 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Casa vs Guediawaye
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs Casa
2:3
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Casa vs Guediawaye
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casa 58 / 100
Guediawaye 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casa Guediawaye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Casa scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Guediawaye let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Casa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Casa VS Guediawaye
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Casa

(Home)
04 Jun
Casa
1 : 2
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
Casa
1 : 2
Generation Foot
Page 1 of 6

Guediawaye

(Away)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)