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Casale vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Selleri G.
82' Event
Gemelli R.
90' Event
Manga E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 game between Casale and Gozzano finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Casale
35%
Draws
46%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Casale haven't matched Gozzano's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Casale Clean Sheet 20%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Casale Gozzano
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 1 14
Draws 5 14
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Gozzano
0:3
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Casale
0:1
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Casale
0:1
Nov 21, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Gozzano
2:0
Feb 14, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Casale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Casale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Selleri G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gemelli R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Casale 32 / 100
Gozzano 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Casale Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gozzano let in goals in 62% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Casale found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

Casale has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gozzano
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Casale

(Home)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
Page 1 of 6

Gozzano

(Away)
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
GSD Lascaris
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)