Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Saco C.
18'
18'
Gallo A.
24'
24'
Vinicius
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Casertana and Crotone finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Crotone
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Medium Confidence
- Casertana carry the better recent record into this one.
- Casertana are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Casertana Clean Sheet 20%
Crotone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Casertana | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Casertana vs Crotone
1:1
Feb 10, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Crotone
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Casertana
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Crotone
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Crotone vs Casertana
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Casertana Compare
Top Goalscorer Saco C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Girelli S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Crotone Compare
Top Goalscorer Vinicius
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Casertana 36 / 100
Crotone 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Casertana Crotone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casertana found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Crotone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Casertana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Casertana VS Crotone
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Casertana
(Home) 13 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Casertana
10 May
Casertana
2 : 3 Salernitana
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Casertana
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1 Giugliano
Page 1 of 7
10 May
Casertana
2 : 3 Salernitana
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Casertana
1 : 0 Atalanta U23
26 Apr
Casertana
1 : 1 Giugliano
12 Apr
Casertana
4 : 1 Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 4
Crotone
(Away) 06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1 Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5 Latina
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
13 Apr
Crotone
2 : 0 Catania
Page 1 of 7
06 May
Casertana
1 : 1 Crotone
19 Apr
Casarano
1 : 2 Crotone
06 Apr
Giugliano
1 : 0 Crotone
22 Mar
Sorrento
2 : 2 Crotone
08 Mar
Trapani
1 : 4 Crotone
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benevento | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 74:28 | 82 |
| 2 | Catania | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54:25 | 70 |
| 3 | Salernitana | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:42 | 69 |
| 4 | Cosenza | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 58:40 | 67 |
| 5 | Casertana | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 55:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Crotone | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 59:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Monopoli | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 39:41 | 56 |
| 8 | Casarano | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:54 | 54 |
| 10 | Potenza | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 54:56 | 49 |
| 11 | Atalanta U23 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 53:50 | 45 |
| 12 | Altamura | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 32:49 | 45 |
| 13 | Latina | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 35:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Cavese | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 36:42 | 42 |
| 15 | Picerno | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43:55 | 40 |
| 16 | Sorrento | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 39:55 | 39 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 35:52 | 37 |
| 18 | Foggia | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28:60 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 48:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Trapani | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
