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Castellon B vs Porreres

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Catala R.
11' Event
Recalde N.
22' Event
Jaraiz A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Castellon B and Porreres finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porreres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Castellon B
39%
Draws
31%
Porreres
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Porreres haven't matched Castellon B's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 16%
Porreres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon B Porreres
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Castellon B vs Porreres
1:3
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Porreres vs Castellon B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Castellon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Catala R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Recalde N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaraiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon B 30 / 100
Porreres 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon B Porreres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Castellon B scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Porreres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Porreres lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Castellon B VS Porreres
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sant Andreu34206851:3366
2Baleares34199653:3466
3UD Poblense341611741:2859
4Reus FC Reddis341671150:3855
5Alcoyano341316530:2055
6Barcelona B3414101062:4052
7Girona B3412111145:3747
8Terrassa3411131036:4446
9Valencia B3410141053:5044
10Espanyol B3410141034:3544
11UD Barbastro3410131132:3143
12Olot3410121231:3242
13Castellon B341191459:7242
14SD Ibiza3410101435:4440
15Andratx34891735:5633
16CE Atletic Lleida346121637:5130
17Torrent34791836:5330
18Porreres34691922:4427