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Castellon vs Muro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016
Castellon Logo

Castellon

5 - 1
FT
Muro Logo

Muro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016 game between Castellon and Muro finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Castellon
15%
Draws
35%
Muro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Muro haven't matched Castellon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Castellon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Castellon Clean Sheet 20%
Muro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castellon Muro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs Muro
2:0
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Castellon
0:1
Mar 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon vs Muro
5:1
Oct 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Castellon
0:0
May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Castellon
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castellon 49 / 100
Muro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castellon Muro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castellon scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Castellon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Muro has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Castellon VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Castellon

(Home)
19 Sept
Castellon
5 : 0
Tenerife
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2
Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0
Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 6

Muro

(Away)
27 Jul
Muro
0 : 4
Alcoyano
12 Sept
Muro
1 : 3
Alcoyano
06 Aug
Muro
2 : 0
Alcoyano
11 May
Muro
3 : 0
Villarreal C
07 May
Almoradi
0 : 5
Muro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Saguntino 38 25 7 6 62:25 82
2 Ontinyent 38 23 5 10 62:39 74
3 Castellon 38 19 10 9 60:41 67
4 Ilicitano 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
5 Villarreal C 38 15 16 7 64:43 61
6 Alzira 38 18 6 14 57:50 60
7 Orihuela 38 16 8 14 50:46 56
8 Novelda CF 38 15 10 13 51:39 55
9 Rayo Ibense 38 15 10 13 38:40 55
10 Torre Levante 38 13 14 11 43:35 53
11 Crevillente 38 13 12 13 41:37 51
12 Torrevieja 38 14 9 15 46:47 51
13 Muro 38 13 10 15 44:51 49
14 Paterna 38 10 12 16 38:53 42
15 Catarroja CF 38 13 3 22 42:61 42
16 Borriol 38 10 10 18 36:51 40
17 CD Bunol 38 9 12 17 22:43 39
18 Espanol de San Vicente 38 8 14 16 34:48 38
19 UD Beniganim 38 7 12 19 41:66 33
20 Acero 38 5 10 23 28:69 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)