Sport Picks
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Calcio Chieti Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sparvoli L.
40'
40'
Emili L.
53'
53'
Fabrizi L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 game between Castelnuovo Vomano and Calcio Chieti finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castelnuovo Vomano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Calcio Chieti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castelnuovo Vomano come out ahead of Calcio Chieti on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Castelnuovo Vomano Clean Sheet 20%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castelnuovo Vomano | Calcio Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 27, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Castelnuovo Vomano vs Calcio Chieti
3:1
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Castelnuovo Vomano
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castelnuovo Vomano Compare
Top Goalscorer Sparvoli L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Emili L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Calcio Chieti Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabrizi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castelnuovo Vomano 32 / 100
Calcio Chieti 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castelnuovo Vomano Calcio Chieti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Castelnuovo Vomano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Calcio Chieti let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Castelnuovo Vomano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Calcio Chieti
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Castelnuovo Vomano
(Home) 29 May
Vastogirardi
2 : 0 Castelnuovo Vomano
22 May
Vastogirardi
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
15 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 2 Montegiorgio
11 May
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 1 Castelnuovo Vomano
08 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 1 US Tolentino
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 2 Montegiorgio
08 May
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 : 1 US Tolentino
14 Apr
Castelnuovo Vomano
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
03 Apr
Castelnuovo Vomano
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
27 Mar
Castelnuovo Vomano
3 : 1 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 3
Calcio Chieti
(Away) 03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
22 Mar
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Calcio Chieti
01 Mar
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Calcio Chieti
15 Feb
Ancona
4 : 1 Calcio Chieti
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Recanatese | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 54:33 | 59 |
| 3 | US Tolentino | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 42:30 | 56 |
| 4 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 55 |
| 5 | Vastese | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 44:32 | 53 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Roma City | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 38:38 | 49 |
| 9 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 45:41 | 49 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 38:36 | 49 |
| 11 | Porto D'Ascoli | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 41:39 | 49 |
| 12 | Matese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:41 | 49 |
| 13 | Fano | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:39 | 48 |
| 14 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:51 | 46 |
| 15 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36:36 | 41 |
| 17 | Nereto | 34 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 23:80 | 12 |
| 18 | Alto Casertano | 34 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 21:81 | 7 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2021/2022 (Play Out)
