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Stadium Background

Castelo FC vs Desportiva Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Castelo FC in this Campeonato Capixaba 2014 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castelo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Castelo FC
6%
Draws
4%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Castelo FC haven't matched Desportiva Ferroviaria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Castelo FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 20%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelo FC Desportiva Ferroviaria
Matches Played 34 43
Wins 10 17
Draws 11 12
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2019 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
Mar 1, 2015 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:0
Jan 31, 2015 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Castelo FC
1:2
Apr 30, 2014 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Castelo FC
2:0
Feb 27, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelo FC 85 / 100
Desportiva Ferroviaria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelo FC Desportiva Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castelo FC found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Desportiva Ferroviaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 43 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Castelo FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelo FC

(Home)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
Page 1 of 7

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Away)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SAO Mateus1686226:1130
2Linhares Futebol Clube1693428:1730
3Estrela do Norte1685322:1329
4Castelo FC1676328:2027
5Vitoria ES1664626:2322
6Real Noroeste1656520:1921
7Desportiva Ferroviaria1663721:2221
8Colatina SE1634916:3313
9Conilon16111410:394
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2014 (Play Offs)