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Castelo FC vs Linhares Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2014
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Castelo FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Castelo FC
33%
Draws
27%
Linhares Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Linhares Futebol Clube carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Castelo FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Linhares Futebol Clube arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Castelo FC, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 20%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelo FC Linhares Futebol Clube
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2014 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Castelo FC
3:1
May 18, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:0
Mar 30, 2014 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Linhares Futebol Clube
1:0
Jan 26, 2014 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Castelo FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelo FC 40 / 100
Linhares Futebol Clube 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelo FC Linhares Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castelo FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Linhares Futebol Clube has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Castelo FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Linhares Futebol Clube
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Castelo FC

(Home)
18 Nov
Vilavelhense
2 : 2
Castelo FC
13 Nov
Castelo FC
0 : 1
Vilavelhense
26 Oct
Capixaba SC
3 : 2
Castelo FC
18 Oct
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Oct
GEL
1 : 7
Castelo FC
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Linhares Futebol Clube

(Away)
28 Jul
GEL
0 : 4
Linhares Futebol Clube
19 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Jul
Linhares Futebol Clube
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Oct
Serra
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
27 Sept
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Serra
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Estrela do Norte4
SAO Mateus2
Castelo FC3
Linhares Futebol Clube3
Final
Estrela do Norte1
Linhares Futebol Clube0