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Castelo FC vs Sport-ES

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2015
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2015 game between Castelo FC and Sport-ES finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport-ES.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Castelo FC
6%
Draws
4%
Sport-ES
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Castelo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport-ES carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Castelo FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Castelo FC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Castelo FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Castelo FC Sport-ES
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2024 Capixaba 2
Castelo FC vs Sport-ES
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Castelo FC
0:1
Apr 24, 2015 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs Castelo FC
1:3
Apr 4, 2015 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Sport-ES
0:1
Mar 15, 2015 Capixaba
Castelo FC vs Sport-ES
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Castelo FC 85 / 100
Sport-ES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Castelo FC Sport-ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Castelo FC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sport-ES conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Castelo FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sport-ES
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%