Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Rodriguez P.
36'
36'
Elena A.
Own Goal
83'
83'
Hormigo M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 game between Castuera and CD Calamonte finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castuera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castuera come out ahead of CD Calamonte on wins alone.
- Castuera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Castuera Clean Sheet 20%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Castuera | CD Calamonte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs CD Calamonte
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Castuera
1:0
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Castuera vs CD Calamonte
3:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Castuera
2:2
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs Castuera
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Castuera Compare
Top Goalscorer Bueno A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
CD Calamonte Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hormigo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Castuera 85 / 100
CD Calamonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Castuera CD Calamonte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castuera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Calamonte let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Castuera's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
CD Calamonte lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Castuera VS CD Calamonte
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Castuera
(Home) 13 Sept
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 Castuera
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0 Gevora
31 Aug
Villanovense
3 : 0 Castuera
11 May
CD Badajoz
1 : 0 Castuera
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2 CF Trujillo
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0 Gevora
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2 CF Trujillo
17 Apr
Castuera
1 : 2 Puebla de la Calzada
06 Apr
Castuera
3 : 3 Jaraiz
21 Mar
Castuera
3 : 1 AD Llerenense
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CD Calamonte
(Away) 09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3 CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3 Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
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09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 CD Calamonte
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0 CD Calamonte
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1 CD Calamonte
29 Mar
SP Villafranca
1 : 0 CD Calamonte
15 Mar
Santa Amalia
2 : 1 CD Calamonte
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 73:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 65:40 | 69 |
| 4 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:20 | 63 |
| 6 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58:38 | 58 |
| 7 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 31:31 | 54 |
| 8 | Jerez CF | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50:48 | 51 |
| 9 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 55:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Moralo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Montijo | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:34 | 45 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:71 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 14 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 35:56 | 32 |
| 15 | Castuera | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 46:64 | 29 |
| 16 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 32:63 | 28 |
| 17 | Arroyo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32:70 | 22 |
| 18 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26:79 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
